Friday, March 4, 2016

Aggregate Supply and Demand Graph

Macro 3.2- Aggregate Supply Practice

Aggregate Supply

Long run vs. Short run


  • Long run: period of time where imput prices are flexible and adjust to changes in price level
    • The level of real GDP supplied is independent of the price level
    • (Vertical at full employment)
  • SHORT RUN: (goes to the sky)
    • period of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to changes in price level
    • level of real GDP supplied is directly related to price level

Changes in Short Run Aggregate Supply


  • An inc in SRS is seen as a shift rk the right. SRAS →
  • A Decrease in SRAS is seen as a shift to the left. SRAS ←
  • The key to understanding shifts SRAS is per unit cost of production
    • Per unit cost of production=total input cost/total output


Determinants of SRS

Input Prices:


  • deals with wages (75 percent) & raw materials, foreign resource prices (ex: strong $ = lower foreign resource price), and marker power (ex: monopoly)
    •  increase in resource Prices=SRAS decrease ←
    •  decrease in resources prices = SRAS inc →

Productivity


  • Productivity=total output/total input
    • more productivity = lower unit production cost = SRAS →
    • Lower productivity = higher unit production cost = SRAS ←


Legal-Institutional Environment


  • Taxes & Subsidies
    • Taxes ($ to gov't) on business increase per unit production cost = SRAS ←
    • Subsidies ($ from Gov't) to business reduce per unit production cost=SRAS →
  • Gov't Regulations
    • Gov't Regulations creates a cost of compliance = SRAS ←
    • Deregulation reduces compliance cost = SRAS →


Full Employment


  • Full employment equilibrium exists where the AD intersects SRAS and LRAS at the same point
    • Recessionary Gap
      • Exists when equilibrium occurs below full employment output
    • Inflationary Gap
      • Exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment output
  • AD increase = real GDP, inflation , price level increases (unemployment decreases) 
    •  Increase in SRAS ←: real gDP increase; inflation, price level

Macro Aggregate Demand Practice

Aggregate Demand

Aggregate Demand


  • Shows the amount of real GDP that the private, public, and foreign sector collectively desire to purchase at each possible price range.
  • - The relationship b/w the price kevel and the level of real GDP is inverse.
  • (X axis): PL for price level
  • (Y axis): GDPr for Real GDP


 Reasons AD is Downward Sloping


  • Real balances effects
    •  when the price level is high, households and businesses cannot afford to purchase as much output
    • When the prices level is low households and businesses can afford to purchase more outputs
  • Interest Rate effect
    • A higher price level increases the interest rate which tends to discourage investment
    • A lower price level decreases the interest rate which tends to encourage investment
  • Foreign Purchases effect
    • A higher price level increases the demand for relatively cheaper imports
    • A lower price level increases the foreign demand for relatively cheaper U.S exports


Shifts in Aggregate Demand (AD)


  • There are two parts to a shift in AD
    • a change in C, Ig, G and /or Xn
    • A multiplier effect that the produces a greater change than the original change in the 4 components
  • Increase in AD=AD →
  • Decrease in AD = AD ←



Determinants of AD

CONSUMPTION


  • House spending is affected by
    • Consumer Wealth
      •     More wealth = more spending (AD shifts →)
      •     Less Wealth = less spending (AD shifts ←)
    • Consumer Expectations
      •      Positive expectations = more spending (AD shifts →)
      •      Negative expectations= less spending (AD shifts ←)
    • Household Indebtedness
      •      Less debt = more spending (AD shifts →)
      •      More debt = less spending (AD shifts ←)
    • Taxes
      •      Less taxes = more spending (AD shifts →)
      •      More taxes = less spending (AD shifts ←)

GROSS PRIVATE INTEREST RATE

  • Interest Spending Is Sensitive to:
    • The Real Interest Rate
      •    Lower interest rate = more investment (AD→)
      •    Higher int. Rate = less investment (AD ←)
    •    Expected Returns
      •      Higher expected returns = more investment (AD→)
      •     .Lower exp. Returns = less investment (AD ←)
  • . Weak foreign economic = less exports = (AD ←) Returns are Influenced by:
    • Expectation of future profitability
    • Technology
    • Degree of excess Capacity (existing stock of capital)
    • Business Taxes

GOVERNMENT SPENDING

  • ·More gov't spending (AD →)
  • ·Less gov't spending (AD←)

NET EXPORTS

  • Net exports are sensitive to:
    • Exchange rates (international value of $)
      •   Strong $ = more imports and fewer exports = (AD ←)
      •   Weak $ = fewer imports and more exports = (AD→)
  • -Relative income
    • . Strong foreign economic = more exports = (AD→)

                                                  Tuesday, February 9, 2016

                                                  GDP and Inflation

                                                  GDP

                                                  • Market value of all final goods and services produced within a nation in a given year
                                                  • Whats not included?
                                                    • Intermediate Goods
                                                      • Goods that require further processing before final 
                                                    • Used (or Second Hand) Goods
                                                    • Purely financial Transactions (Stocks and Bonds)
                                                    • Unreported business activity
                                                    • Illegal Activites
                                                    • Nonmarket Activity (Volunteering or Babysitting)
                                                    • Transfer Payments. (Scholarships, Welfare etc)
                                                  • Whats included?
                                                    • C- Personal Consumption Expenditures
                                                    • IG- Gross Private Domestic Investments
                                                      • New Factory epuipments, Factory Equipment Maintenance etc.
                                                    • G- Government Spending (20% of the Economy)
                                                    • XN- Net Exports (Exports-Imports)
                                                  • Ways to Calculate GDP
                                                    • Expenditure Approach
                                                      • Add up  all spending on Final Goods and Services produced in a given year
                                                      • Formula: GDP=C+IG+G+XN
                                                    • Income Approach
                                                      • Add up all income that resulted from selling all final goods and services in a given year
                                                      • Formula:
                                                        GDP=Wages+Rents+Interest+Corporate Profits+Indirect  Business Tax+Depreciation
                                                  • Net Domestic Product: (NDP)
                                                    • GDP-Depreciation
                                                  • Net National Product: (NNP)
                                                    • GNP-Depreciation
                                                      • GNP=GDP+Net Foreign Factor Payment
                                                  • Budget:
                                                    • Gov't purchase of Goods and Services+Tansfer Payments-Gov't Tax and Fee Collection
                                                    • If you recieve a number less than zero there is a surplus
                                                    • If you recieve a number greater than zero there is a deficit
                                                  • Trade:
                                                    • Exports-Imports
                                                    • If you recieve a figure less than zero there is a Deficit
                                                    • If you revieve a figure less than zero there is a Surplus
                                                  • National Income
                                                    • Comp. of Employee+Rents+Interest+Proprietors income+Corporate Profits
                                                    • or, GDP-Indirect Business Taxes-Depreciation-Net foreign factor pay
                                                  • Disposable Personal Income
                                                    • National Income-Personal Household Taxes+Government Transfer Rights
                                                  • Nominal GDP (Inflation)
                                                    • Value of output produced in current crisis
                                                    • Can increase from year to year if output or price increase
                                                  • Real GDP
                                                    • Value of output produced in constant or base year crisis
                                                    • Adjusted for Inflation
                                                    • Can increase from uear to uear only if output increases
                                                    • Used to measure real Economic Growth
                                                  • GDP deflator




                                                    • Price index used to adjust from Nominal to Real GDP
                                                    • Nominal GDP/Real GDP x 100
                                                    • In base year GDP deflator aleays equals 100
                                                    • For years after base year GDP deflator is greater than 100
                                                    • For years prior to base year, GDP deflator is less than 100
                                                  • Ex:














                                                  • Consumer Price Index (CPI)
                                                    • Most commonly used measurement for iinflation
                                                    • Measures cost of market basket of goods for a typical Urban American Family
                                                    • Cost of Market Masket of Goods in given year/Cost of Market basket of Goods in Base year x 100
                                                  • Inflation
                                                    • Price index in year 2-Price Index in year 1/Price index in year 1 x 100
                                                  • Interest Rate 
                                                    • Nominal Rate
                                                      • % of increase in money the borrower must pay lender for loan
                                                      • Not adjusted for Inflation
                                                      • Fisher Method: Nominal Interest rates= Expected Interest+Inflation pay
                                                    • Real Interest Rate
                                                      • % increase in Purchasing power borrower must pay lender for loan
                                                      • Adjusted for Inflation
                                                      • Nominal Interest Rate-Inflation=Real Interest Rate
                                                    • Cost of Living Adjustment (Cola)
                                                    • Gives automatic wage increase when inflation occurs
                                                  • Unemployment 
                                                    • Failure to use available resources, particularly labor, to produce desired goods and services
                                                  • Labor force
                                                    • 16 years of age
                                                    • Able and Willing to Work
                                                    • Employed and Unemployed
                                                  • Not in Labor Force
                                                    • Military
                                                    • Students
                                                    • Retirees
                                                    • Disabled
                                                    • Jailed People
                                                    • Mental Institutionalized people
                                                    • Homemakes
                                                    • Those Not looking for work
                                                  • Unemployment Rate
                                                    • Ideal= 4-5% (Full Employment)
                                                    • number of unemployed/number of employed and unemployed
                                                  • Type of Unemployment
                                                    • Frictional Unemplloyment (Temporarily Unemployed)
                                                      • Have transferable skills
                                                      • Searching for better opportunity ex: students
                                                    • Structural
                                                      • Changes in structure of labor force making skill/jobs obsolete
                                                      • Don't have transferable skills
                                                    • Seasonal Unemploymeny
                                                      • Work depends on time of year and nature of job
                                                      • ex: school bus drivers 
                                                    • Cyclical Unemployments
                                                      • Results from economic downturns or recession
                                                      • As demand for goods and services fall, demand for labor falls as well
                                                    • Frictional + Structural = Natural Rate of unemployement
                                                      • Totally unavoidable
                                                    • Full employment means there are no Cyclical unemployment 
                                                  • GDP Gap
                                                    • The amount vy which actual GDP  falls short of Potential GDP
                                                  • Okons Law
                                                    • For every 1% in which actual unemployement rate exceeds the Natural rate of unemployment a GDP gap of 2% exists
                                                  • Rule of 70
                                                    • Used to determine the years it takes for a valur to double, given a particular anneal growth rate by deviding 70 by the percentage given.

                                                  Circular Flow Video Explanation

                                                  http://study.com/academy/lesson/circular-flow-of-economic-activity-the-flow-of-goods-services-resources.html